نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی- پژوهشی مستقل
نویسندگان
1 استادیار گروه اقتصاد دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد فیروزکوه
2 دانشجوی دکترای گروه مهندسی صنایع دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی واحد علوم و تحقیقات
3 کارشناس ارشد اقتصاد دانشگاه آزاد اسلامی، واحدفیروزکوه
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Background and objective: Governments have the main role in governing a country’s activities, for which they need budget. Budget is the artery of a government, sincegovernments do all their financial activitiesincluding obtaining income and paying the costs of various and numerous plans in the framework of the budget law. Therefore, budget reflects the entire picture of agovernment’s plans and activities, and plays a vital role in the development of national economics. In this regard, the roots of budget deficit should be looked for in the realm of political economics, as it is in many cases the result of mismanagement, economic crises, and financial indiscipline caused by political instability within the country. Thus, the main objective of this paper is to analyze the effect of political instability and violence on budget deficit in selected middle income countries.
Methodology: This is an applied research by objective, a causal research by method of study, and inferential research by methodology.
Results and conclusion: Results from model estimation by the method of fixed effects and the generalized method of moments in the group of selected countries in the years between 2000 to 2013 show that instability and violence have a positive and meaningful effect on the budget deficit in the group of selected countries. Political instability increases a government’smilitary spending, and reduces tax revenues due to the decline in the country’s economic activity, resulting in an increase of the budget deficit.
کلیدواژهها [English]