International Studies Journal (ISJ)

International Studies Journal (ISJ)

The impact of China's Middle East goals on the March 2023 Iran-Saudi Arabia agreement

Document Type : Original Article from Result of Thesis

Authors
1 MA of Middle East Studies at Allameh Tabataba'i University.
2 Associated Prof. at International Relations Dep., Allameh Tabataba'i University.
10.22034/isj.2026.575778.2437
Abstract
The March 2023 agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, which took place with China's mediation, is considered one of the significant developments in the field of Middle East regional diplomacy. This development unfolded in a context where the Middle East has always been one of the most sensitive and strategic regions in the world due to its exceptional geopolitical position, abundant energy resources, and the presence of historical conflicts, placing it at the center of attention for both regional and extra-regional powers. In this regard, the relationship between Iran and Saudi Arabia, as two influential regional actors, has experienced numerous ups and downs over recent decades under the influence of regional rivalries, and has often been marked by serious tensions. The central problem of this research is to examine the impact of China's Middle East objectives on the formation and realization of this agreement.The main research question is: What impact did China's Middle East objectives have on the March 2023 Iran-Saudi Arabia agreement? The aim of the study is to analyze how China played a mediating role and to examine the consequences of this agreement on Iran-Saudi Arabia relations. This research addresses the subject by employing a qualitative approach and an analytical method, relying on data gathered from official documents, scientific articles, and credible international sources.

Highlights

Introduction

The March 2023 agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia, mediated by China, is considered one of the significant developments in regional diplomacy in the Middle East. This development emerged within a context in which the Middle East has consistently been regarded as one of the world’s most sensitive and strategic regions, due to its exceptional geopolitical position, abundant energy resources, and longstanding conflicts. Relations between Iran and Saudi Arabia, as two influential regional actors, have in recent decades been marked by serious tensions stemming from political, religious, and security differences.

The main issue of this study is to explain the role and impact of China’s Middle East objectives on the formation of the March 2023 agreement between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The central research question is: what impact have China’s Middle East objectives had on this agreement? The aim of the study is to analyze China’s role as a mediator and to examine the consequences of this agreement for bilateral relations and for the region’s security and economic dynamics. The research adopts a qualitative and analytical approach, drawing on official documents and scholarly articles.

China’s economic motivations—particularly its need to secure a stable energy supply and maintain balanced relations with both countries—have been a key factor in its mediation. Additionally, the willingness of Iran and Saudi Arabia to reduce tensions, promote economic development, and improve trade relations created the conditions for accepting this role. Overall, China, through diplomacy based on shared interests, has played an effective role in reducing tensions.

 

Research Methodology

This research adopts a qualitative approach. Data are collected through the examination of documents, academic articles, and credible international sources. In addition, primary Arabic and English sources are used as part of the research data. Furthermore, this research uses the conceptual framework of balance of interests to analyze the impact of China’s objectives on this agreement.

 

Research Findings and Results

Examining China’s role in the March 2023 agreement between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia in this research indicates that China, as a regional and global power, relying on balancing policy and an indirect approach, played significant roles in shaping and facilitating this agreement. China, emphasizing the preservation of its economic and security interests in the Middle East, particularly through strengthening trade and energy relations with Iran and Saudi Arabia, acted as a mediator in the negotiation process.

By using its economic and diplomatic capacities, China was able to create an environment in which Iran and Saudi Arabia, despite long-standing rivalries, reached an agreement and worked toward reducing regional tensions. In particular, through creating conditions for economic cooperation, China indirectly helped reduce political and security disagreements between the two countries. In this way, China not only emerged as an effective mediator in resolving regional crises, but also, by emphasizing balancing and multilateral policies, contributed to enhancing regional stability and security.

In line with China’s long-term objectives in the Middle East, this country indirectly played a role in the formation of the March 2023 agreement process. On one hand, by maintaining broad economic relations with Iran and Saudi Arabia, China sought to secure its energy supply and strengthen its position in global energy resource access; on the other hand, by strengthening political and economic relations, China aimed to consolidate its position in the region. This approach, in addition to securing China’s interests, strengthened China’s role as an effective regional actor in the Middle East and in global geopolitical developments.

Ultimately, by utilizing a balance of interests policy in the region, China was able to play a central and effective role in facilitating the Iran–Saudi agreement. By considering the complex and diverse interests of each party, China helped create a favorable environment for achieving an agreement. As a regional actor, by applying balancing policies and maintaining equilibrium between the interests of the two countries, China made it possible to achieve a sustainable and long-term agreement. Furthermore, the behavioral model resulting from the Iran–Saudi agreement directly contributed to the realization of China’s regional strategies and its broader Middle Eastern objectives.

Keywords
Subjects

1.      Al-Tamimi, N. (2022). China–Saudi Arabia relations: A new era of strategic partnership. Journal of Contemporary China, 31(134), 41–58. https://doi.org/10.1080/10670564.2021.1945732
2.      Abbas. Z. (2024). Political and economic conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia and its impact on South Asia. Social Prism, 1(2), 27–41. https://doi.org/10.69671/f12y8g34
3.      Brookings Institution. (2024). China’s Energy Security and Middle East Policy: Strategic Calculations in a Volatile Region. Washington, D.C.: Brookings Institution Press.
4.      Cafiero, G. (2024). China’s Diplomacy and Its Economic Strategy in the Middle East. Regional Stability and Development.
5.      Dazi-Héni, F., Pina, C., & Ramadan-Alban, W. (2023). The Agreement to Normalize Saudi-Iranian Diplomatic Relations Was Signed in Beijing: Mixed Perspectives. European Institute for International Law and International Relations. Retrieved from https://ecfr.eu/publication/east-meets-middle-chinas-blossoming-relationship-with-saudi-arabia-and-the-uae/
6.      Foreign Policy Research Institute (FPRI). (2023). Iran-Saudi Normalization: A Regional Process with Chinese Characteristics. Retrieved from https://www.fpri.org  
7.      Lons, C. (2024). East Meets Middle: China’s Blossoming Relationship with Saudi Arabia and the UAE. European Council on Foreign Relations. Retrieved from https://ecfr.eu/publication/east-meets-middle-chinas-blossoming-relationship-with-saudi-arabia-and-the-uae/
8.      MEI Switzerland. (2025). China’s High-Tech Partnerships in the Middle East: 5G and Smart Cities. Middle East Institute Switzerland.
9.      The Maritime Executive. (2025, November 16). Blue Sword 2025 shows limits of Sino-Saudi naval cooperation. https://maritime-executive.com/article/blue-sword-2025-shows-limits-of-sino-saudi-naval-cooperation
10.   Ministry of Foreign Affairs, People’s Republic of China. (2025). Joint Press Release of the Third Meeting of the China-Iran-Saudi Arabia Trilateral Joint Committee. Retrieved from https://www.fmprc.gov.cn/mfa_eng/xw/wjbxw/202512/t20251210_11770309.html
11.   Morsy, H. (2019). Ports and Maritime Logistics in the Middle East: Chinese Investments. Maritime Policy & Management, 46(5), 588–603.
12.   Raydan, N., & Nadimi, F. (2024). Houthi Shipping Attacks: Patterns and Expectations for 2025. Retrieved from https://atlasinstitute.org/the-red-sea-shipping-crisis-2024-2025-houthi-attacks-and-global-trade-disruption/
13.   Fulton, J. (2025, November 18). Unpacking the China file In U.S.-Saudi relations. The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. https://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/unpacking-china-file-us-saudi-relations
14.   Reuters. (2025, December 15). China urges Gulf nations to seal free trade agreement. https://www.reuters.com/world/china/china-saudi-arabia-agree-strengthen-coordination-regional-global-matters-2025-12-15
15.   Balfour, R., Baroncelli, E., Bomassi, L., Csernatoni, R., Goldthau, A., Grevi, G., Hoeffler, C., Jones, E., Nair, P. P., Ülgen, S., & Youngs, R. (2024, November 19). Geopolitics and economic statecraft in the European Union. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2024/11/geopolitics-and-economic-statecraft-in-the-european-union
16.   U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC). (2024). China and the Middle East. https://www.uscc.gov
17.   Sainz, V. (2025). The Red Sea Shipping Crisis (2024–2025): Houthi Attacks and Global Trade Disruption. Retrieved from https://atlasinstitute.org/the-red-sea-shipping-crisis-2024-2025-houthi-attacks-and-global-trade-disruption/
18.   Sarı, İ. (2023). The Impact of the Iran-Saudi Arabia Deal on the Middle East: A New Wave of Regional Normalization. Center for Middle Eastern Studies. Retrieved from https://orsam.org.tr/en/yayinlar/the-impact-of-the-iran-saudi-arabia-deal-on-the-middle-east-a-new-wave-of-regional-normalization/
19.   Schweller, R. L. (1994). Bandwagoning for Profit: Bringing the Revisionist State Back In. International Security, 19(1), 72–107
20.   Scita, E. (2023). Energy Security and Regional Stability in the Middle East. Global Energy Policy Journal, 15.
21.   Rose, G. (1998). Neoclassical realism and theories of foreign policy. World Politics, 51(1), 144–172. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0043887100007814
22.   Hwang, J. (2025). Wang Yi's MENA visit. The China-MENA Newsletter. https://chinamenanewsletter.substack.com/p/wang-yis-mena-visit
23.   United States Institute of Peace. (2023, March 16). What you need to know about China’s Saudi-Iran deal. https://www.usip.org/publications/2023/03/what-you-need-know-about-chinas-saudi-iran-deal