International Studies Journal (ISJ)

International Studies Journal (ISJ)

An analysis of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank's Role in managing the COVID-19 Economic Crisis (2019-2021)

Document Type : Original Independent Original Article

Authors
1 Full Professor, Department of International Relations, Allameh Tabatabaei University, Tehran, Iran.
2 Master student in International Relations, Faculty of Islamic Studies and Political Science, Imam Sadegh University, Tehran, Iran.
3 Full Professor Department of Economics, Faculty of Islamic Studies and Economics, Imam Sadegh University, Tehran, Iran.
Abstract
As a 21st-century crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic had widespread and multifaceted impacts on many economic, social, and political aspects of human life. A few years after the global financial crisis, an abrupt shutdown of businesses created a new crisis. Meanwhile, the pandemic came to coincide with serious challenges resulting from climate change, economic digitalization, geopolitical competition, and geo-economic inequalities. At the same time, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank (WB), and other financial institutions were effective actors in handling the COVID-19 economic consequences. The research question of this study is what roles the IMF and WB played from 2019 to 2021 to manage this crisis and to what extent these measures enhanced the global cooperation. For this purpose, the study adopted an explorative approach while using a qualitative content analysis method. It aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of these measures in relieving the economic impacts of COVID-19 consequences and identifying the structural weaknesses of them. The findings indicate that although these institutes managed to effectively reduce the short-run impacts of the crisis, they need to redesign their instruments and enhance their institutional structures. Therefore, the study emphasizes the need for structural reform of the global financial system.

Highlights

Introduction

Initially detected in China in December 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic soon became a serious 21st-century crisis. It affected all aspects of human life such as economic, social, and political systems significantly. The crisis highlighted the interdependency of societies particularly in the age of globalization, revealing that even advanced economic structures and international financial institutions could be vulnerable in the face of unpredictable crises. The impacts of the pandemic did not take long to turn into a multifaceted crisis and create widespread challenges for international institutes due to the halt in economic activity and the pressure on health systems. There was just a decade-long interval between the pandemic and the 2007-2008 international financial crisis; as a consequence, the world faced a new crisis dubbed by the World Bank (WB) in 2022 as "the largest economic crisis of the recent century.” Under those circumstances, international financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank constitute effective players in handling the economic consequences of the pandemic. Designed within the framework of the Bretton Woods International Conference in 1944, these institutions aim to stabilize the international economy and facilitate sustainable growth. Although their mission still remains unchanged, their policies and approaches keep evolving due to economic changes and ever-emerging crises.

The main question of this research is what role the IMF and WB played in managing the economic consequences of the COVID-19 crisis in a timeframe ranging from 2019 to 2021. The research hypothesizes that although the measures taken by the IMF and WB positively relieved the consequences of the crisis, these institutions need to reform and redesign their instruments and structures due to their failure to properly manage global crises. This research adopted an exploratory and qualitative approach while using documents and laboratory resources. The resources included articles, books, financial reports, academic papers, statistical documents, and first-hand international documents. An investigation into these resources enabled the researcher to analyze the effects of such measures on managing the crisis in different countries thoroughly. The main purpose of this research was to analyze how the IMF and WB could adapt to the conditions created by the COVID-19 pandemic and evaluate their role in managing the economic consequences of this crisis. In addition, the research sought to identify challenges and opportunities encountered by these institutes during the crisis to improve their readiness for facing a similar crisis in the future.

 

Methodology

This research follows an exploratory and qualitative approach while using a qualitative content analysis. The research data were collected from academic papers, financial reports, and statistical documents. These resources belonged to valid databases such as the IMF, the WB, JSTOR, Google Scholar, and Scopus. The criteria for choosing them included their scientific credibility, their publication in valid journals, and their relevance to the research subject. The timeframe of the research ranged from 2019 to 2021 to study the effects of the measures taken by the IMF and WB on managing the crisis resulting from the Covid19. The data were analyzed by studying the official reports and documents released by these institutes, analyzing their financial policies, and evaluating their protective measures taken during the Covid19. Meanwhile, the research examined key policymaking trends during that period by focusing on English academic papers published by valid databases.

 

Results and Findings

The global crisis following COVID-19 resulted in the adoption of new policies in the international economic system due to the widespread effects of the pandemic. The crisis made an opportunity for revising the international economic system and moving toward further sustainability. As two key institutions founded in the aftermath of World War II, the IMF and WB still offer an effective framework for international multilateral cooperation; nevertheless, the geopolitical competitions and rising geo-economic tensions have limited these opportunities. The IMF reacted to the global crisis by making multiple measures to offset the negative effects of it on its member states. Offering emergency financial assistance to the faltering economies was one of the most important measures, providing these economies with easy access to financial resources to address economic and liquidity problems. Additionally, special drawing rights (SDR) were used to help low and medium-income countries enhance their foreign exchange reserves and facilitate their finance on a global scale. At the same time, the WB, another international financial institution, contributed to alleviating the economic impact of the crisis by allocating financial resources to vulnerable countries so that they could improve their public health infrastructure and provide access to the COVID-19 vaccines. The institute provided financial assistance to renovate and improve public health facilities, focusing on supporting small and medium-sized businesses, especially in developing countries. Meanwhile, it took action to promote the economic resilience of these countries against future crises.

However, although international institutes such as the IMF and WB struggled to manage the economic crisis resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic and provide the affected countries with financial support, not only did these measures fail to improve the situation, they also deteriorated it in some cases. The austerity policies imposed by these institutes that emphasized cuts on public expenses and the implementation of structural reforms significantly decreased public budgets, such as health and education, and reduced social support for the economically disadvantaged groups. These policies intensified economic and social inequalities; meanwhile, they limited access to public health and educational services in some low-income countries. In addition, the delay in providing financial support and the lack of proportionality between the aid provided to the developing countries and their real need disabled the institutions to fill the gap resulting from the crisis. Totally, short-sighted financial policies that forwent fundamental, concerted reforms effectively intensified the crises and nullified the efforts to reach the envisioned goals. International institutes could have played a facilitative role in filling the economic and political gaps to enhance the global economic governance. Although COVID-19 was a threat shared by all countries, it was also an opportunity to evaluate the capacity of the global economic governance. This crisis encouraged the governments and international organizations to take immediate and coordinated measures; however, it revealed the structural weaknesses of the system. Therefore, governance structures should undergo fundamental reforms, and their executive instruments require further improvement.

Keywords
Subjects

1.      Africanews. (2021, February 19). COVID-19: Africa to receive 300 million doses of Russia’s Sputnik V vaccine. Retrieved from https://www.africanews.com/2021/02/19/covid-19-africa-to-receive-300-million-doses-of-russia-s-sputnik-v-vaccine
2.      Bagheri Dolatabadi, A. (2023). Chinese health diplomacy and the increasing dynamism of China's economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Iranian Journal of International Politics Research, 12(1), 1-30. https://doi.org/10.22067/irlip.2023.74561.1218. (In Persian)
3.      Baldwin, R., & di Mauro, B. W. (Eds.). (2020). Economics in the Time of COVID-19. Centre for Economic Policy Research.
4.      Bhargava, V. (2021). The role of the international financial institutions in addressing global issues. Retrieved from https://gbdrrrf.org/system/files/privatefiles/international_financial_institutions_ifis.pdf
5.      Boin, A., & 't Hart, P. (2022). From crisis to reform? Exploring three post-COVID pathways. Policy and Society, 41(1), 13–24. https://doi.org/10.1093/polsoc/puab007
6.      Bretton Woods Project. (2020, April 9). World Bank pandemic bond instrument fails in COVID-19 response. Bretton Woods Project. https://www.brettonwoodsproject.org/2020/04/world-bank-pandemic-bond-instrument-fails-in-covid-19-response/
7.      Chitenderu, T.T. and Ncwadi, R. (2022), "Policy Implications of IMF and World Bank Loans towards COVID-19 Economic Crisis on African's Development", Osabuohien, E., Odularu, G., Ufua, D. and Osabohien, R. (Ed.) COVID-19 in the African Continent, Emerald Publishing Limited, Leeds, pp. 247-262. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-80117-686-620221022
8.      Chun, S., Naidoo, K., & Sobrinho, N. (2022). The impact of the IMF’s COVID-19 support to developing and emerging economies. IMF Working Papers. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2022/12/17/The-Impact-of-the-IMFs-COVID-19-Support-to-Developing-and-Emerging-Economies-527076
9.      Duggan, J., Morris, S., Sandefur, J., & Yang, G. (2020). Is the World Bank's COVID-19 crisis lending big enough, fast enough? New evidence on loan disbursements. Center for Global Development, October. Retrieved from https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/world-banks-covid-crisis-lending-big-enough-fast-enough-new-evidence-loan-disbursements.pdf
10.   Fortune Europe. (2023, June 17). UN chief rips IMF and World Bank for ‘glaring failure’ during pandemic—and ‘bias and injustice built into the current international financial architecture’. Fortune Europe. https://fortune.com/europe/2023/06/17/united-nations-imf-world-bank-glaring-failure-stres-test-pandemic/
11.   Goodman, P. S. (2020). How the wealthy world has failed poor countries during the pandemic. The New York Times, November. Retrieved from https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/01/business/coronavirus-imf-world-bank.html
12.   Grittayaphong, P., & Restrepo-Echavarría, P. (2023). COVID-19: Fiscal Implications and Financial Stability in Developing Countries Federal Reserve Bank of St, Louis Review, Third Quarter 2023, pp. 137-49. https://doi.org/10.20955/r.105.137-49
13.   Hirschmann, G. (2023). Crisis management in international organisations: The League of Nations’ response to early challenges. Cambridge Review of International Affairs, 1–19. https://doi.org/10.1080/09557571.2023.2271984
14.   International Monetary Fund. (2020d). Questions and Answers: The IMF's response to COVID-19. https://www.imf.org/en/About/FAQ/imf-response-to-covid-19
15.   International Monetary Fund. (2020e, March 26). IMF Executive Board Approves a US$120.9 Million Disbursement to the Kyrgyz Republic to Address the COVID-19 Pandemic. https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2020/03/26/pr20115-kyrgyz-republic-imf-executive-board-approves-disbursement-to-address-covid-19-pandemic
16.   International Monetary Fund. (2020f, May 6). IMF Executive Board Approves a US$189.5 Million RCF Disbursement to Tajikistan to Address the COVID-19 Pandemic. https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2020/05/06/pr20207-tajikistan-imf-executive-board-approves-a-us-189-5m-rcf-disbursement-to-address-covid19
17.   International Monetary Fund. (2020g). IMF response to COVID-19. https://www.imf.org/en/About/FAQ/imf-response-to-covid-19
18.   International Monetary Fund. (2021a, April). The IMF's response to COVID-19: Questions and answers. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/About/FAQ/imf-response-to-covid-19#Q1
19.   International Monetary Fund. (2022b, May 20). Chile receives IMF’s first short-term liquidity line. IMF. https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2022/05/20/pr22164-chile-receives-imfs-first-short-term-liquidity-line
20.   International Monetary Fund. (2022c). The impact of the IMF's COVID-19 support to developing and emerging market economies. Retrieved from https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2022/261/article-A001-en.xml
21.   IRPJ. (2021). The COVID-19 pandemic: An assessment of the response by global international organizations. Intergovernmental Research and Policy Journal. https://irpj.euclid.int/articles/the-covid-19-pandemic-an-assessment-of-the-response-by-global-international-organizations/
22.   Jafari, M. H., Mahmoudzadeh, A., & Nili, M. (2023). The effect of government fiscal actions on COVID-19 infection rates. Iranian Economic Research, 28(96), 53-85. doi: 10.22054/ijer.2023.73642.1186. (In Persian)
23.   Koh, C., & Wojnilower, J. (2023). IEO evaluation of IMF’s emergency response to the COVID-19 pandemic: Staff survey results. IEO Background Paper, No. BP/23-01/06. Retrieved from file:///C:/Users/PASARGAD%20PARDAZ/Downloads/erp-6-conclusions-and-recommendations-web-v2.pdf
24.   Krasner, S. D. (1982). Structural causes and regime consequences: Regimes as intervening variables. _International Organization_, 36(2), 185–205. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818300018920
25.   Mosafa, N., & Kiani, R. (2024). The legitimacy of United Nations actions during the COVID-19 pandemic. Global Politics, 13(1), 7-34. doi: 10.22124/wp.2024.26949.3326. (In Persian)
26.   Mohammadnia, M. (2023). COVID-19, health security, and global health diplomacy. Majles and Strategy, 30(113), 139-174. doi: 10.22034/mr.2022.4968.4787. (In Persian)
27.   Olsson, E.-K., & Verbeek, B. (2016). International organisations and crisis management: Do crises enable or constrain IO autonomy? Journal of International Relations and Development, 21(2), 275–299.
28.   Shahbazi, A., & Abzou, B. (2024). The performance of the World Health Organization in combating COVID-19 under international law: Weaknesses and suggestions for reform. Legal Research, 23(58), 153-184. doi: 10.48300/jlr.2023.387238.2294. (In Persian)
29.   SpringerProfessional.de. (2021). Monetary Response to and Financial Implications of Covid-19. https://www.springerprofessional.de/monetary-response-to-and-financial-implications-of-covid-19/20335386
30.   Tamale, N. (2021). Adding fuel to fire: How IMF demands for austerity will drive up inequality worldwide. Oxfam Policy & Practice, November. Retrieved from https://oxfamilibrary.openrepository.com/bitstream/handle/10546/621210/bp-covid-loans-imf-austerity-110821-en.pdf;jsessionid=BC68CB4A64943A3DDBF277F76D83DBF0?sequence=1
31.   Tatar, M., Shoorekchali, J. M., Faraji, M. R., Seyyedkolaee, M. A., Pagán, J. A., & Wilson, F. A. (2022). COVID-19 vaccine inequality: A global perspective. Journal of Global Health, 2022 Oct 14;12:03072. doi: 10.7189/jogh.12.03072.
32.   Walker, J., Martin, M., Seery, E., Abdo, N., Kamande, A., Lawson, M. (2022), The 2022 Commitment to Reducing Inequality (CRI) Index, Oxfam International, October, available online at https://www.oxfam.org/en/research/2022-commitment-reducing-inequality-cri-index
33.   Welch, D. A. (2021). The Ontology of International Crisis. Oxford Research Encyclopedias. DOI: 10.1093/acrefore/9780190228637.001.0001/acrefore-9780190228637-e-1569
34.   World Bank (2022a), Chapter 1. The economic impacts of the COVID-19 crisis, World Development Report 2022, available online at https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2022/brief/chapter-1-introduction-the-economic-impacts-of-the-covid-19-crisis
35.   World Bank Group. (2022b, August). How the World Bank Group is helping countries address COVID-19 (coronavirus). Retrieved from https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/factsheet/2020/02/11/how-the-world-bank-group-is-helping-countries-with-covid-19-coronavirus#:~:text=It%20focuses%20on%20four%20main,build%20readiness%20for%20future%20pandemics.
36.   World Bank Group. (2024a, October 4). IMF, WBG, and WHO Step Up Cooperation on Pandemic Preparedness. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2024/10/04/the-international-monetary-fund-the-world-bank-group-and-the-world-health-organization-step-up-cooperation-on-pandemic-p
37.   World Bank Group. (2024b). The World Bank Group's Support to Countries during the COVID-19 Crisis. https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/annual-report/covid-response
38.   World Bank. (2020c, April 2). World Bank Group launches first operations for COVID-19 (coronavirus) emergency health support, strengthening developing country responses. The World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2020/04/02/world-bank-group-launches-first-operations-for-covid-19-coronavirus-emergency-health-support-strengthening-developing-country-responses
39.   World Bank. (2020e). World Bank COVID-19 response. Retrieved from https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/annual-report/covid-response
40.   World Bank. (2020f, December 14). 2020 Year in Review: The impact of COVID-19 in 12 charts. World Bank Blogs. https://blogs.worldbank.org/en/voices/2020-year-review-impact-covid-19-12-charts
41.   World Bank. (2020g). The World Bank Group's support to countries during the COVID-19 pandemic. World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/about/annual-report/covid-response
42.   World Bank. (2022d). The World Bank’s early support to addressing COVID-19: Health and social response. An early-stage evaluation, November. Retrieved from https://ieg.worldbankgroup.org/sites/default/files/Data/Evaluation/files/Covid-19-health-and-social-response.pdf
43.   World Resources Institute. (2023). International financial institutions. Retrieved from https://www.wri.org/initiatives/international-financial-institutions
44.   Yousefi, S., & Soleimani, H. (2023). Limited actors, unlimited activities; examining the role and performance of non-governmental international organizations (INGOs) in addressing the global COVID-19 crisis. International Legal Studies, 60(16), 239-257. (In Persian)