نوع مقاله : مقاله علمی- پژوهشی مستخرج از رساله
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
This paper aims to examine and modify Charles Doran’s Power Cycle Theory by analyzing the impacts of emerging technologies on the international order and shifts in power. The main research question is: What are the new indicators for modifying the Power Cycle Theory, and how do these indicators affect the international order? The research hypothesis posits that emerging technologies, especially in the fields of artificial intelligence and communications, have the potential to significantly alter global power cycles and either reinforce or weaken the dominance of major powers. The theoretical framework of the paper is based on Doran’s Power Cycle Theory, which, by drawing on human biorhythm, analyzes power cycles in the international system and introduces new indicators. The research methodology is explanatory-analytical, involving the examination of data and historical trends to present a new model that evaluates the role of emerging technologies in transforming the international order and sustaining power. The results indicate that emerging technologies not only have the potential to cause fundamental changes in the global power structure but also make it increasingly necessary to revisit traditional theories of power and international order. Additionally, the study faces limitations such as the difficulty in accurately predicting the long-term impacts of technologies and the lack of access to some reliable data. Future research is suggested to focus on hybrid models that consider not only material and technological factors but also norms, culture, and beliefs to provide a more comprehensive picture of the future international order.
کلیدواژهها English